Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.011206 0.013603 0.016626 0.020816 0.026638 0.034714 0.047305
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.008272 0.010915 0.014698 0.020814 0.031153 0.049567 0.090035
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.006695 0.009286 0.013292 0.020462 0.034421 0.064838 0.157889
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.005484 0.007839 0.011659 0.018963 0.034630 0.074362 0.237090
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.004706 0.006893 0.010583 0.018043 0.035482 0.086609 0.376906
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.004228 0.006340 0.010045 0.017969 0.038257 0.108453 0.736445
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003919 0.006016 0.009843 0.018518 0.043047 0.146489 2.062660
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003614 0.005650 0.009482 0.018592 0.046612 0.188779 7.641281
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003278 0.005184 0.008841 0.017807 0.046981 0.216219 32.273762
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003032 0.004854 0.008424 0.017474 0.048849 0.262991 7303.194709
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002917 0.004756 0.008471 0.018383 0.056384 0.402381 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002848 0.004734 0.008679 0.019823 0.067977 0.726718 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002750 0.004668 0.008831 0.021375 0.083937 1.686207 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002570 0.004417 0.008516 0.021371 0.091805 3.202959 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002395 0.004156 0.008134 0.021006 0.097247 6.153020 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002186 0.003804 0.007474 0.019452 0.091943 7.085687 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002027 0.003543 0.007010 0.018499 0.090790 10.509967 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001922 0.003389 0.006796 0.018422 0.097461 34.279986 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001853 0.003305 0.006751 0.018991 0.112033 3365.001472 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001772 0.003186 0.006595 0.019067 0.122425 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001667 0.003006 0.006251 0.018255 0.120991 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001586 0.002876 0.006029 0.017909 0.125524 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001554 0.002849 0.006090 0.018851 0.152151 NaN NaN